Bet with MINO CASINO →Le Havre are at home to Lorient on 8 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Océane (Le Havre). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Le Havre vs Lorient: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Le Havre are 18th with 2 points after 9 matches (0W 2D 7L), whereas Lorient are 11th with 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Le Havre have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Lorient average 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Havre: 0W 2D 7L, goals 9–20; Lorient: 3W 3D 2L, goals 7–6.
- Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Le Havre have 4 wins, Lorient have 4 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 20–19.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 12; Le Havre 4 wins, 4 draws, Lorient 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Le Havre 9–20, Lorient 7–6.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: Le Havre 0, Lorient 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Le Havre are missing: no absences. Lorient are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Le Havre vs Lorient: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.96 | 3.52 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.84 | 3.31 | 2.45 |
| Lowest odds | 2.71 | 3.07 | 2.29 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.32 | 71.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.00 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.81 | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.52 | 3.41 | 27.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.74 | 53.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.99 | 46.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Le Havre 1–1 Lorient, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Lorient 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Havre 0W 2D 7L (9:20), Lorient 3W 3D 2L (7:6).
- H2H: 12 matches: Le Havre 4W 4D 4L, goals 20–19.
- Absences: Le Havre 0, Lorient 0.
Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Le Havre vs Lorient: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Le Havre vs Lorient: who is missing
Le Havre
- No reported absences
Lorient
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Le Havre vs Lorient: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Havre
Home and away
Le Havre vs Lorient: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Le HavreLLLLLLorientLDWWLLe Havre vs Lorient: head to head
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Le Havre vs Lorient: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Le Havre vs Lorient?
Lorient +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.63); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?
Our probabilities: Le Havre to win 33%, a draw 28%, Lorient to win 38%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade Océane, Le Havre.
Who will be missing?
Le Havre: no absences. Lorient: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.07); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 0–1 (10.7%) and 1–0 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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