Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Napoli v Bodø/Glimt is on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples); José María Sánchez Martínez takes charge. We think Napoli (55%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Napoli are 22nd with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Bodø/Glimt are 28th with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Napoli have 1 win, Bodø/Glimt have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–3.
What to expect
Napoli should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Napoli 1 win, 0 draws, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 7.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Napoli are missing: no absences. Bodø/Glimt are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.83 | 4.26 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 4.07 | 4.46 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.86 | 4.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Bodø/Glimt, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Napoli 22nd (3 points), Bodø/Glimt 28th (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Napoli 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–3.
- Absences: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: who is missing
Napoli
- No reported absences
Bodø/Glimt
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
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Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: head to head
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Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Our result tip is Napoli to win (odds 1.83), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Napoli or draw (1X).
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Our probabilities: Napoli to win 55%, a draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.
Who will be missing?
Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.1%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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