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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 20 October 2026 · 20:00

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: tip, odds and prediction – 20 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

4–3
1Napoli1.83
XDraw4.26
2Bodø/Glimt4.77

Best available odds · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt is on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples); José María Sánchez Martínez takes charge. We think Napoli (55%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: tip and prediction
Result
Napoli to win
1.83
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Napoli plus over 2.5 goals
2.59
39% · combo fair price
55%chance of the result
61%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Napoli or draw (1X) – 79% probability, top odds 1.25.

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Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Napoli are 22nd with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Bodø/Glimt are 28th with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Napoli have 1 win, Bodø/Glimt have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–3.

What to expect

Napoli should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Napoli 1 win, 0 draws, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 7.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
  4. Absent: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Napoli are missing: no absences. Bodø/Glimt are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.834.264.77
Market average1.734.074.46
Lowest odds1.703.864.08
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1581.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5461.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4238.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.422.3440.9%
BTTS – yes1.601.5360.9%
BTTS – no2.502.3939.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Bodø/Glimt, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Napoli 22nd (3 points), Bodø/Glimt 28th (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Napoli 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–3.
  • Absences: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.

Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

Napoli55%
Draw23%
Bodø/Glimt21%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.0% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Napoli or draw (1X)78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Both sides to score: yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.66
Possible
Napoli to win55.1% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.42
Outsider
Both sides to score: no39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.50
Outsider
Draw23.5% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.26
Outsider
Bodø/Glimt to win21.4% · fair odds 4.66 · best 4.77
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.8%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.19 · Under 1.64
probability of over 42.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.1%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 08.8%
2 : 08.6%
3 : 16.4%
1 : 25.8%

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: who is missing

Napoli

  • No reported absences

Bodø/Glimt

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Napoli

1 NovLJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctWMonza 1–4 Napoli
24 OctDNapoli 3–3 AS Roma
20 OctWNapoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt
17 OctLVenezia 1–0 Napoli

Bodø/Glimt

30 OctWBodø/Glimt 3–2 Viking
24 OctLBodø/Glimt 0–1 Vålerenga
20 OctLNapoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt
17 OctWHam-Kam 0–2 Bodø/Glimt
14 OctWBodø/Glimt 1–0 Borussia Dortmund

Home and away

Napoli at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–4
Bodø/Glimt away2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 3–9

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: head to head

All matches
1Napoli
0Draws
0Bodø/Glimt
20/10/26 · Napoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

Our result tip is Napoli to win (odds 1.83), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Napoli or draw (1X).

Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

Our probabilities: Napoli to win 55%, a draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt to win 21%.

What time and where is kick-off?

20 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.

Who will be missing?

Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.60).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.1%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP 3 NovGalatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart 3 NovManchester United vs AS Roma 3 NovFeyenoord vs Inter 3 NovBodø/Glimt vs Lille 3 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.