Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hradec Králové are at home to FK Jablonec on 25 October 2026 · 12:00 at Malšovická arena (Hradec Králové), with Dominik Starý as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hradec Králové are 11th with 15 points after 13 matches (4W 3D 6L), whereas FK Jablonec are 7th with 20 points (6W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Hradec Králové have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; FK Jablonec average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hradec Králové: 4W 3D 4L, goals 10–13; FK Jablonec: 5W 2D 4L, goals 14–12.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Hradec Králové have 2 wins, FK Jablonec have 6 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 12–21.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the FK Jablonec are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Hradec Králové 2 wins, 5 draws, FK Jablonec 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Hradec Králové 10–13, FK Jablonec 14–12.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Hradec Králové 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hradec Králové are missing: no absences. FK Jablonec are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.48 | 3.30 | 3.19 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.15 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.28 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.94 | 48.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.28 | 28.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 45.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 09:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hradec Králové 1–1 FK Jablonec, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Hradec Králové 11th (15 points), FK Jablonec 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Hradec Králové 4W 3D 4L (10:13), FK Jablonec 5W 2D 4L (14:12).
- H2H: 13 matches: Hradec Králové 2W 5D 6L, goals 12–21.
- Absences: Hradec Králové 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Who will win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: who is missing
Hradec Králové
- No reported absences
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Hradec Králové
Home and away
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Hradec KrálovéLLDLLFK JablonecLWLWDHradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
Our result tip is Hradec Králové or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Hradec Králové or draw (1X).
Who will win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
Our probabilities: Hradec Králové to win 39%, a draw 30%, FK Jablonec to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 12:00, at Malšovická arena, Hradec Králové. Referee: Dominik Starý.
Who will be missing?
Hradec Králové: no absences. FK Jablonec: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.02); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.6%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.