Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rio Ave are at home to Famalicão on 25 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio dos Arcos (Vila do Conde), with H. Carvalho as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.66 | 3.46 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.48 | 3.30 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.11 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.83 | 51.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicão, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rio Ave 16th (7 points), Famalicão 11th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Rio Ave 2W 1D 5L (8:17), Famalicão 1W 4D 3L (10:11).
- H2H: 14 matches: Rio Ave 1W 8D 5L, goals 10–17.
- Absences: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: who is missing
Rio Ave
- No reported absences
Famalicão
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rio Ave
Home and away
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rio Ave are 16th with 7 points after 10 matches (2W 1D 7L), whereas Famalicão are 11th with 10 points (2W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Rio Ave have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Famalicão average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rio Ave: 2W 1D 5L, goals 8–17; Famalicão: 1W 4D 3L, goals 10–11.
- Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Rio Ave have 1 win, Famalicão have 5 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 10–17.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 14; Rio Ave 1 win, 8 draws, Famalicão 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rio Ave 8–17, Famalicão 10–11.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rio Ave are missing: no absences. Famalicão are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Rio AveLLWLDFamalicãoLWLWDRio Ave vs Famalicão: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
Our result tip is Draw or Famalicão (X2) (odds 1.32), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Draw or Famalicão (X2).
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
Our probabilities: Rio Ave to win 27%, a draw 28%, Famalicão to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Estádio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde. Referee: H. Carvalho.
Who will be missing?
Rio Ave: no absences. Famalicão: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.05); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–2 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.