Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Exeter City are at home to Fleetwood Town on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at St James Park (Exeter), with G. Laflin as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.50 | 3.34 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.20 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.32 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.59 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.80 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Fleetwood Town 16th (17 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Exeter City 4W 4D 1L, goals 14–11.
- Absences: Exeter City 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: who is missing
Exeter City
- No reported absences
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Exeter City
Home and away
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Exeter City are 12th with 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), whereas Fleetwood Town are 16th with 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Exeter City have 4 wins, Fleetwood Town have 1 win and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–11.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Exeter City 4 wins, 4 draws, Fleetwood Town 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Exeter City 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Exeter City are missing: no absences. Fleetwood Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: head to head
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Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our result tip is Exeter City or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79). The safer pick is Exeter City or draw (1X).
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our probabilities: Exeter City to win 39%, a draw 29%, Fleetwood Town to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at St James Park, Exeter. Referee: G. Laflin.
Who will be missing?
Exeter City: no absences. Fleetwood Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.15); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.87).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.9%); after that come 1–0 (11.2%) and 0–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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