Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town is on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Whaddon Road (Cheltenham); O. Mackey takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.50 | 3.61 | 2.25 |
| Market average | 3.21 | 3.42 | 2.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.81 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.95 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cheltenham 1–1 Fleetwood Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cheltenham 5th (21 points), Fleetwood Town 16th (17 points).
- Absences: Cheltenham 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: who is missing
Cheltenham
- No reported absences
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Cheltenham
Home and away
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cheltenham are 5th with 21 points after 14 matches (6W 3D 5L), whereas Fleetwood Town are 16th with 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
What to expect
Fleetwood Town should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Cheltenham are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Cheltenham 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cheltenham are missing: no absences. Fleetwood Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
Our result tip is Draw or Fleetwood Town (X2) (odds 1.37), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Fleetwood Town (X2).
Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
Our probabilities: Cheltenham to win 29%, a draw 27%, Fleetwood Town to win 44%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham. Referee: O. Mackey.
Who will be missing?
Cheltenham: no absences. Fleetwood Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.90); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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