Bet with MINO CASINO →Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Municipal de Balaídos (Vigo). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.25 | 3.78 | 3.20 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.57 | 3.06 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.21 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.68 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.18 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.64 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.56 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.32 | 40.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Celta Vigo 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Celta Vigo 25th (3 points), Union St. Gilloise 6th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Celta Vigo 1W 0D 2L (3:4), Union St. Gilloise 2W 1D 0L (8:1).
- Absences: Celta Vigo 7, Union St. Gilloise 7.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: who is missing
Celta Vigo
- H. F. Cuenca Martinezmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. El Abdellaouiknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Iglesiascalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Nunezgroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Romanknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Starfeltmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Gonzalezinjury · doubtful
Union St. Gilloise
- A. Ait El Hadjnot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Biondicinjury · will miss the match
- I. Hurteventknock · will miss the match
- O. Kricfalusiknock · will miss the match
- K. Mac Allisterknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Pavlicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Schoofsknock · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Celta Vigo
Home and away
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Celta Vigo are 25th with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Union St. Gilloise are 6th with 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Celta Vigo have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Union St. Gilloise average 2.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Celta Vigo: 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–4; Union St. Gilloise: 2W 1D 0L, goals 8–1.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Union St. Gilloise are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Celta Vigo 3–4, Union St. Gilloise 8–1.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Celta Vigo 7, Union St. Gilloise 7.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Celta Vigo are missing: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt, H. Gonzalez. Union St. Gilloise are without: A. Ait El Hadj, M. Biondic, I. Hurtevent, O. Kricfalusi, K. Mac Allister, I. Pavlic, R. Schoofs. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Celta VigoWLLUnion St. GilloiseWDWReturns calculator
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our result tip is Celta Vigo or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Celta Vigo or draw (1X).
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our probabilities: Celta Vigo to win 43%, a draw 26%, Union St. Gilloise to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo.
Who will be missing?
Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt, H. Gonzalez. Union St. Gilloise: A. Ait El Hadj, M. Biondic, I. Hurtevent, O. Kricfalusi, K. Mac Allister, I. Pavlic, R. Schoofs. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.72); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.