Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva is on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Merkur Spielarena (Düsseldorf); Mikola Balakin takes charge. We think Union St. Gilloise (66%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.48 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.78 | 6.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.52 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.46 | 38.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.69 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.09 | 44.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union St. Gilloise 6th (7 points), Hapoel Beer Sheva 30th (1 point).
- H2H: 1 match: Union St. Gilloise 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Absences: Union St. Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: who is missing
Union St. Gilloise
- No reported absences
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Union St. Gilloise
Home and away
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 6th with 7 points after 3 matches (2W 1D 0L), whereas Hapoel Beer Sheva are 30th with 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Union St. Gilloise have 1 win, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–0.
What to expect
Union St. Gilloise should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Union St. Gilloise 1 win, 0 draws, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Union St. Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Union St. Gilloise are missing: no absences. Hapoel Beer Sheva are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: head to head
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Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our result tip is Union St. Gilloise to win (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Union St. Gilloise or draw (1X).
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our probabilities: Union St. Gilloise to win 66%, a draw 20%, Hapoel Beer Sheva to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Merkur Spielarena, Düsseldorf. Referee: Mikola Balakin.
Who will be missing?
Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Hapoel Beer Sheva: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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