Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise meet Cercle Brugge on 25 October 2026 · 18:15 at Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels), refereed by Wesli De Cremer, Belgium. Union St. Gilloise (71%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.36 | 5.96 | 9.25 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.30 | 8.22 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.81 | 6.66 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.29 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union St. Gilloise 2nd (26 points), Cercle Brugge 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Union St. Gilloise 6W 2D 0L (22:4), Cercle Brugge 0W 3D 5L (9:16).
- H2H: 23 matches: Union St. Gilloise 12W 5D 6L, goals 42–31.
- Absences: Union St. Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: who is missing
Union St. Gilloise
- No reported absences
Cercle Brugge
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union St. Gilloise
Home and away
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 2nd with 26 points after 10 matches (8W 2D 0L), whereas Cercle Brugge are 17th with 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Union St. Gilloise have scored 2.8 and conceded 0.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Cercle Brugge average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Union St. Gilloise: 6W 2D 0L, goals 22–4; Cercle Brugge: 0W 3D 5L, goals 9–16.
- Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, Union St. Gilloise have 12 wins, Cercle Brugge have 6 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 42–31.
What to expect
Union St. Gilloise should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 23; Union St. Gilloise 12 wins, 5 draws, Cercle Brugge 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Union St. Gilloise 22–4, Cercle Brugge 9–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Union St. Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Union St. Gilloise are missing: no absences. Cercle Brugge are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Union St. GilloiseWWDWWCercle BruggeWLLLDUnion St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: head to head
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Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our result tip is Union St. Gilloise to win (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Union St. Gilloise or draw (1X).
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our probabilities: Union St. Gilloise to win 71%, a draw 18%, Cercle Brugge to win 11%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 18:15, at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels. Referee: Wesli De Cremer, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Cercle Brugge: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.66).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.3%); after that come 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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