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Championship · Matchweek 15 · 7 November 2026 · 15:00

Cardiff vs Burnley: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Championship

LWDWL
VS
DLLDW
1Cardiff2.27
XDraw3.64
2Burnley2.82

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 12:38

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Cardiff meet Burnley on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Cardiff vs Burnley: tip and prediction
Result
Cardiff to win
2.27
41%chance of the result
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Cardiff vs Burnley: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.273.642.82
Market average2.273.642.82
Lowest odds2.273.642.82

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Cardiff 1–1 Burnley, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Cardiff 17th (14 points), Burnley 22nd (9 points).
  • H2H: 14 matches: Cardiff 3W 6D 5L, goals 14–20.
  • Absences: Cardiff 0, Burnley 0.

Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?

Cardiff41%
Draw26%
Burnley33%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Cardiff vs Burnley: more markets and betting tips

Cardiff to win41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.27
Outsider
Burnley to win33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.82
Outsider
Draw25.7% · fair odds 3.89 · best 3.64
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.2%
1 : 09.7%
2 : 18.8%
0 : 18.4%
1 : 27.6%
2 : 07.1%

Cardiff vs Burnley: who is missing

Cardiff

  • No reported absences

Burnley

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Cardiff vs Burnley: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Cardiff

31 OctLWolves 3–0 Cardiff
24 OctWCardiff 1–0 Birmingham
17 OctDMiddlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff
13 OctWCardiff 5–1 Watford
10 OctLBlackburn 2–1 Cardiff

Burnley

31 OctDBurnley 0–0 Portsmouth
24 OctLLincoln 4–1 Burnley
16 OctLBurnley 1–2 Wolves
13 OctDBurnley 2–2 Charlton
10 OctWWatford 0–4 Burnley

Home and away

Cardiff at home6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 13–6
Burnley away6 matches: 1W 1D 4L, goals 9–15

Cardiff vs Burnley: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Cardiff are 17th with 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), whereas Burnley are 22nd with 9 points (1W 6D 6L).
  2. Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Cardiff have 3 wins, Burnley have 5 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–20.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 14; Cardiff 3 wins, 6 draws, Burnley 5 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
  3. Absent: Cardiff 0, Burnley 0.

Alternative tip: Burnley to win

Alternative pick: Burnley to win (probability 33%, best available odds 2.82). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Cardiff are missing: no absences. Burnley are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Cardiff vs Burnley: head to head

All matches
3Cardiff
6Draws
5Burnley
23/9/25 · Burnley 1–2 Cardiff
4/3/25 · Cardiff 1–2 Burnley
17/8/24 · Burnley 5–0 Cardiff
8/5/23 · Burnley 3–0 Cardiff
1/10/22 · Cardiff 1–1 Burnley
13/4/19 · Burnley 2–0 Cardiff

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Cardiff vs Burnley: questions and answers

Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?

Our probabilities: Cardiff to win 41%, a draw 26%, Burnley to win 33%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.

Who will be missing?

Cardiff: no absences. Burnley: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (8.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Watford vs Lincoln 3 NovPreston vs Sheffield Utd 3 NovBlackburn vs Stoke City 3 NovDerby vs Norwich 3 NovQPR vs Burnley 3 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.