Cardiff meet Burnley on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Cardiff vs Burnley: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.27 | 3.64 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.64 | 2.82 |
| Lowest odds | 2.27 | 3.64 | 2.82 |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cardiff 1–1 Burnley, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cardiff 17th (14 points), Burnley 22nd (9 points).
- H2H: 14 matches: Cardiff 3W 6D 5L, goals 14–20.
- Absences: Cardiff 0, Burnley 0.
Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cardiff vs Burnley: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Cardiff vs Burnley: who is missing
Cardiff
- No reported absences
Burnley
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cardiff vs Burnley: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cardiff
Home and away
Cardiff vs Burnley: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cardiff are 17th with 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), whereas Burnley are 22nd with 9 points (1W 6D 6L).
- Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Cardiff have 3 wins, Burnley have 5 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–20.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 14; Cardiff 3 wins, 6 draws, Burnley 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Absent: Cardiff 0, Burnley 0.
Alternative tip: Burnley to win
Alternative pick: Burnley to win (probability 33%, best available odds 2.82). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cardiff are missing: no absences. Burnley are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cardiff vs Burnley: head to head
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Cardiff vs Burnley: questions and answers
Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?
Our probabilities: Cardiff to win 41%, a draw 26%, Burnley to win 33%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
Who will be missing?
Cardiff: no absences. Burnley: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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