Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Wolves meet Cardiff on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton), refereed by Josh Smith. Wolves (60%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Wolves vs Cardiff: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.70 | 4.75 | 5.47 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 4.42 | 4.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.78 | 3.89 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.69 | 34.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Wolves 2–1 Cardiff, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Wolves 3rd (24 points), Cardiff 17th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Wolves 6W 3D 3L (20:16), Cardiff 3W 5D 4L (19:17).
- H2H: 13 matches: Wolves 6W 0D 7L, goals 17–17.
- Absences: Wolves 6, Cardiff 5.
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Wolves vs Cardiff: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Wolves vs Cardiff: who is missing
Wolves
- R. Jimenezknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Konanknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Djigagroin injury · doubtful
- F. Lopezcalf injury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
Cardiff
- C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Oshored card · will miss the match
- K. Bieliknot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Robinsonnot in the squad · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Wolves vs Cardiff: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Wolves
Home and away
Wolves vs Cardiff: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Wolves are 3rd with 24 points after 13 matches (7W 3D 3L), whereas Cardiff are 17th with 14 points (3W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Wolves have scored 1.7 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Cardiff average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Wolves: 6W 3D 3L, goals 20–16; Cardiff: 3W 5D 4L, goals 19–17.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Wolves have 6 wins, Cardiff have 7 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–17.
What to expect
Wolves should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Wolves 6 wins, 0 draws, Cardiff 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Wolves 20–16, Cardiff 19–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: Wolves 6, Cardiff 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Wolves are missing: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, F. Lopez, B. Traore, B. Traore. Cardiff are without: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Wolves vs Cardiff: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
WolvesWWDWLCardiffLWDWLWolves vs Cardiff: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Wolves vs Cardiff: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Wolves vs Cardiff?
Our result tip is Wolves to win (odds 1.70), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Wolves or draw (1X).
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
Our probabilities: Wolves to win 60%, a draw 21%, Cardiff to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Referee: Josh Smith.
Who will be missing?
Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, F. Lopez, B. Traore, B. Traore. Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.83).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.7%); after that come 1–1 (8.8%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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