Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Burnley v Portsmouth is on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Turf Moor (Burnley); Ruebyn Ricardo takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.27 | 3.42 | 3.37 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.19 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 2.99 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.31 | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.81 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.41 | 27.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.96 | 47.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Burnley 22nd (9 points), Portsmouth 11th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Burnley 1W 5D 6L (17:25), Portsmouth 5W 3D 4L (16:15).
- H2H: 5 matches: Burnley 2W 2D 1L, goals 7–3.
- Absences: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Burnley vs Portsmouth: who is missing
Burnley
- A. Ahmedhodzicknock · will miss the match
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Amosnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Ramseyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Banelabsence · doubtful
- A. Brojainjury · doubtful
- J. Cullenabsence · doubtful
- J. Vardyinjury · doubtful
- K. Walkernot in the squad · doubtful
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · doubtful
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burnley
Home and away
Burnley vs Portsmouth: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Burnley are 22nd with 9 points after 13 matches (1W 6D 6L), whereas Portsmouth are 11th with 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Burnley have scored 1.4 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Portsmouth average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Burnley: 1W 5D 6L, goals 17–25; Portsmouth: 5W 3D 4L, goals 16–15.
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Burnley have 2 wins, Portsmouth have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–3.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Portsmouth are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Burnley 2 wins, 2 draws, Portsmouth 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Burnley 17–25, Portsmouth 16–15.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Burnley are missing: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Portsmouth are without: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BurnleyDLLDWPortsmouthDWDWWBurnley vs Portsmouth: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Burnley vs Portsmouth: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Our result tip is Burnley or draw (1X) (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Burnley or draw (1X).
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Our probabilities: Burnley to win 42%, a draw 28%, Portsmouth to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Turf Moor, Burnley. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Burnley: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.07); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.6%); after that come 1–0 (10.9%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.