Bristol City meet Wolves on 4 November 2026 · 20:00 at Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol), refereed by Tom Nield. Wolves (45%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Bristol City vs Wolves: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bristol City are 14th with 18 points after 13 matches (5W 3D 5L), whereas Wolves are 3rd with 24 points (7W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Bristol City have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Wolves average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bristol City: 5W 3D 5L, goals 15–17; Wolves: 7W 3D 3L, goals 23–16.
- Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Bristol City have 2 wins, Wolves have 9 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 16–25.
What to expect
Wolves should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 12; Bristol City 2 wins, 1 draw, Wolves 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bristol City 15–17, Wolves 23–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Bristol City 3, Wolves 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bristol City are missing: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie. Wolves are without: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, B. Traore, B. Traore. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bristol City vs Wolves: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.65 | 3.58 | 2.13 |
| Market average | 3.43 | 3.43 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 3.02 | 3.04 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.90 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.14 | 29.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bristol City 1–1 Wolves, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol City 14th (18 points), Wolves 3rd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Bristol City 5W 3D 5L (15:17), Wolves 7W 3D 3L (23:16).
- H2H: 12 matches: Bristol City 2W 1D 9L, goals 16–25.
- Absences: Bristol City 3, Wolves 5.
Who will win Bristol City vs Wolves?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bristol City vs Wolves: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bristol City vs Wolves: who is missing
Bristol City
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
- R. Dickieknee injury · doubtful
Wolves
- R. Jimenezknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Konanknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Djigagroin injury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bristol City vs Wolves: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bristol City
Home and away
Bristol City vs Wolves: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Bristol City vs Wolves: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Bristol City vs Wolves: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bristol City vs Wolves?
Our result tip is Wolves to win (odds 2.13), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Draw or Wolves (X2).
Who will win Bristol City vs Wolves?
Our probabilities: Bristol City to win 27%, a draw 27%, Wolves to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
4 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol. Referee: Tom Nield.
Who will be missing?
Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie. Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, B. Traore, B. Traore. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.91); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.0%); after that come 0–1 (10.4%) and 1–2 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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