Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bolton v Bristol City is on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Toughsheet Community Stadium (Horwich); Bobby Madley takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Bolton vs Bristol City: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.05 | 3.52 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.94 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.64 | 3.08 | 2.23 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.80 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.15 | 2.96 | 31.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.17 | 42.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bolton 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bolton 19th (14 points), Bristol City 14th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Bolton 4W 2D 6L (16:23), Bristol City 4W 3D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 10 matches: Bolton 3W 2D 5L, goals 12–20.
- Absences: Bolton 5, Bristol City 4.
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bolton vs Bristol City: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bolton vs Bristol City: who is missing
Bolton
- E. Erhahonthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Hardiehamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. McAteeknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nelsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Forino-Josephgroin injury · doubtful
Bristol City
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
- R. Dickieknee injury · doubtful
- L. Tolajabsence · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bolton vs Bristol City: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bolton
Home and away
Bolton vs Bristol City: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bolton are 19th with 14 points after 13 matches (4W 2D 7L), whereas Bristol City are 14th with 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Bolton have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Bristol City average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bolton: 4W 2D 6L, goals 16–23; Bristol City: 4W 3D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Bolton have 3 wins, Bristol City have 5 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 12–20.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; Bolton 3 wins, 2 draws, Bristol City 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bolton 16–23, Bristol City 12–15.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Bolton 5, Bristol City 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bolton are missing: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, C. Forino-Joseph. Bristol City are without: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie, L. Tolaj. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bolton vs Bristol City: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BoltonLLDWLBristol CityWDLLDBolton vs Bristol City: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Bolton vs Bristol City: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bolton vs Bristol City?
Our result tip is Draw or Bristol City (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Bristol City (X2).
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
Our probabilities: Bolton to win 32%, a draw 28%, Bristol City to win 41%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich. Referee: Bobby Madley.
Who will be missing?
Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, C. Forino-Joseph. Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie, L. Tolaj. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.87); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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