Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sheffield Utd are at home to Wrexham on 30 October 2026 · 20:00 at Bramall Lane (Sheffield), with David Webb as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sheffield Utd are 10th with 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), whereas Wrexham are 18th with 14 points (3W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Sheffield Utd have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Wrexham average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sheffield Utd: 4W 4D 4L, goals 16–15; Wrexham: 3W 5D 4L, goals 15–18.
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Sheffield Utd have 3 wins, Wrexham have 2 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 15–13.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Sheffield Utd 3 wins, 1 draw, Wrexham 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sheffield Utd 16–15, Wrexham 15–18.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Sheffield Utd 4, Wrexham 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sheffield Utd are missing: M. Doherty, R. One, J. Shackleton, P. Bamford. Wrexham are without: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, J. Windass, S. Revan, G. Thomason. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.45 | 3.45 | 3.18 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.34 | 2.98 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 2.95 | 2.59 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.90 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.88 | 50.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.39 | 3.19 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sheffield Utd 1–1 Wrexham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sheffield Utd 10th (19 points), Wrexham 18th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Sheffield Utd 4W 4D 4L (16:15), Wrexham 3W 5D 4L (15:18).
- H2H: 6 matches: Sheffield Utd 3W 1D 2L, goals 15–13.
- Absences: Sheffield Utd 4, Wrexham 6.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: who is missing
Sheffield Utd
- M. Dohertyinjury · will miss the match
- R. Onenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Shackletonabsence · will miss the match
- P. Bamfordnot in the squad · doubtful
Wrexham
- N. Broadheadthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Cacacecalf injury · will miss the match
- M. Cleworthmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Windassankle injury · will miss the match
- S. Revanhamstring injury · doubtful
- G. Thomasonthigh injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sheffield Utd
Home and away
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Sheffield UtdWDWLWWrexhamLLWLDSheffield Utd vs Wrexham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
Draw or Wrexham (X2) (1.65); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
Our probabilities: Sheffield Utd to win 41%, a draw 28%, Wrexham to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Bramall Lane, Sheffield. Referee: David Webb.
Who will be missing?
Sheffield Utd: M. Doherty, R. One, J. Shackleton, P. Bamford. Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, J. Windass, S. Revan, G. Thomason. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.97); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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