Bet with MINO CASINO →Ajax are at home to ADO Den Haag on 22 November 2026 · 13:30 at Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam). Our favourites are Ajax (80%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.20 | 8.45 | 14.50 |
| Market average | 1.17 | 7.71 | 13.00 |
| Lowest odds | 1.15 | 7.30 | 12.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.54 | 26.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ajax 2–0 ADO Den Haag, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Ajax 2nd (24 points), ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points).
- Absences: Ajax 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: who is missing
Ajax
- No reported absences
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Ajax
Home and away
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Ajax are 2nd with 24 points after 11 matches (7W 3D 1L), whereas ADO Den Haag are 17th with 6 points (1W 3D 7L).
What to expect
Ajax should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.20, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Absent: Ajax 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Ajax are missing: no absences. ADO Den Haag are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
Our result tip is Ajax to win (odds 1.20), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Ajax or draw (1X).
Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
Our probabilities: Ajax to win 80%, a draw 12%, ADO Den Haag to win 7%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 13:30, at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
Who will be missing?
Ajax: no absences. ADO Den Haag: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 74% (odds 1.29); under 2.5 goals is at 26% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (9.6%); after that come 3–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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