Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag is on 1 November 2026 · 11:15 at MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle); Jeroen Manschot takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, PEC Zwolle are 14th with 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), whereas ADO Den Haag are 17th with 6 points (1W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. PEC Zwolle have scored 1.1 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; ADO Den Haag average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PEC Zwolle: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–23; ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 6L, goals 13–23.
- Head to head. In their 20 meetings so far, PEC Zwolle have 11 wins, ADO Den Haag have 7 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 37–27.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 20; PEC Zwolle 11 wins, 2 draws, ADO Den Haag 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: PEC Zwolle 11–23, ADO Den Haag 13–23.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
PEC Zwolle are missing: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. ADO Den Haag are without: D. Barany, L. Reischl. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.31 | 3.83 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.24 | 3.63 | 2.90 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.29 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.59 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.33 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.48 | 37.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 06:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: PEC Zwolle 1–1 ADO Den Haag, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: PEC Zwolle 14th (11 points), ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: PEC Zwolle 2W 2D 6L (11:23), ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 6L (13:23).
- H2H: 20 matches: PEC Zwolle 11W 2D 7L, goals 37–27.
- Absences: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: who is missing
PEC Zwolle
- S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
- F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
ADO Den Haag
- D. Baranythigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
PEC Zwolle
Home and away
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PEC ZwolleWDWLLADO Den HaagLLWDDPEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: head to head
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PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: questions and answers
What is the best tip for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
Our result tip is PEC Zwolle or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is PEC Zwolle or draw (1X).
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
Our probabilities: PEC Zwolle to win 42%, a draw 26%, ADO Den Haag to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 11:15, at MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. Referee: Jeroen Manschot.
Who will be missing?
PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. ADO Den Haag: D. Barany, L. Reischl. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.64); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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