Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag are at home to Heerenveen on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague), with Jannick van der Laan as the referee. Our favourites are Heerenveen (48%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.53 | 4.00 | 2.03 |
| Market average | 3.39 | 3.86 | 1.99 |
| Lowest odds | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.44 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.68 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.72 | 34.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 5L (11:20), Heerenveen 3W 3D 3L (15:11).
- H2H: 23 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 9D 10L, goals 24–36.
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: who is missing
ADO Den Haag
- L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match
- D. Baranythigh injury · doubtful
Heerenveen
- D. Properhamstring injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, ADO Den Haag are 17th with 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L), whereas Heerenveen are 7th with 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. ADO Den Haag have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Heerenveen average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 5L, goals 11–20; Heerenveen: 3W 3D 3L, goals 15–11.
- Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, ADO Den Haag have 4 wins, Heerenveen have 10 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 24–36.
What to expect
Heerenveen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 23; ADO Den Haag 4 wins, 9 draws, Heerenveen 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: ADO Den Haag 11–20, Heerenveen 15–11.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
ADO Den Haag are missing: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Heerenveen are without: D. Proper. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ADO Den HaagLLWDDHeerenveenWWWLWADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Our result tip is Heerenveen to win (odds 2.03), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Heerenveen (X2).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Our probabilities: ADO Den Haag to win 28%, a draw 25%, Heerenveen to win 48%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Heerenveen: D. Proper. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 66% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.2%) and 2–1 (7.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.