Bet with MINO CASINO →VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen is on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at MHPArena (Stuttgart). We think VfB Stuttgart (61%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, VfB Stuttgart are 11th with 9 points after 8 matches (3W 0D 5L), whereas Werder Bremen are 5th with 15 points (4W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. VfB Stuttgart have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Werder Bremen average 2.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 3W 0D 5L, goals 14–15; Werder Bremen: 4W 3D 1L, goals 17–14.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, VfB Stuttgart have 9 wins, Werder Bremen have 8 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 43–38.
What to expect
VfB Stuttgart should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Werder Bremen are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.84), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; VfB Stuttgart 9 wins, 9 draws, Werder Bremen 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 14–15, Werder Bremen 17–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Absent: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best available odds 2.12). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
VfB Stuttgart are missing: no absences. Werder Bremen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.58 | 5.13 | 5.29 |
| Market average | 1.54 | 4.77 | 4.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.31 | 4.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.50 | 26.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.78 | 53.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.38 | 67.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.94 | 2.85 | 32.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points), Werder Bremen 5th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 5L (14:15), Werder Bremen 4W 3D 1L (17:14).
- H2H: 26 matches: VfB Stuttgart 9W 9D 8L, goals 43–38.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: who is missing
VfB Stuttgart
- No reported absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
VfB StuttgartWLLWLWerder BremenWWDDWVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Werder Bremen +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 3.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Our probabilities: VfB Stuttgart to win 61%, a draw 20%, Werder Bremen to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at MHPArena, Stuttgart.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.32); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 67% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.1%); after that come 3–1 (7.4%) and 1–1 (7.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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