Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen are at home to VfB Stuttgart on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen), with Benjamin Brand as the referee. Our favourites are Bayer Leverkusen (57%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.79 | 4.77 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.46 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.82 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.49 | 27.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.77 | 53.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.36 | 1.34 | 69.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 2L (16:12), VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 5L (10:13).
- H2H: 32 matches: Bayer Leverkusen 19W 9D 4L, goals 70–45.
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: who is missing
Bayer Leverkusen
- L. Badeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Diabyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
- C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Sauermuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Stillergroin injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are 6th with 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), whereas VfB Stuttgart are 11th with 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; VfB Stuttgart average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–12; VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 5L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. In their 32 meetings so far, Bayer Leverkusen have 19 wins, VfB Stuttgart have 4 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 70–45.
What to expect
Bayer Leverkusen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.84), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 32; Bayer Leverkusen 19 wins, 9 draws, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bayer Leverkusen 16–12, VfB Stuttgart 10–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Absent: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best available odds 2.12). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bayer Leverkusen are missing: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. VfB Stuttgart are without: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Bayer LeverkusenLLWWWVfB StuttgartWLLWLBayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: head to head
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Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our result tip is Bayer Leverkusen to win (odds 1.79), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.84). The safer pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen to win 57%, a draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart to win 22%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Benjamin Brand.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.32); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 70% probability (odds 1.36).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.0%); after that come 1–1 (7.6%) and 3–1 (7.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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