Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart are at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart), with Matthias Jöllenbeck as the referee. Our favourites are VfB Stuttgart (72%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.36 | 6.40 | 8.75 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.97 | 7.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.77 | 25.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:17. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points), Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 4L (8:10), Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 6L (8:20).
- H2H: 31 matches: VfB Stuttgart 13W 5D 13L, goals 47–47.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: who is missing
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Narteythigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- J. Castropshoulder injury · will miss the match
- F. Fleckmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Honoratmuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Itakuraankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Kleindienstmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Kuhnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. Leopoldknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Leszczynskiknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Lidbergthigh injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, VfB Stuttgart are 11th with 9 points after 8 matches (3W 0D 5L), whereas Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th with 4 points (1W 1D 6L).
- Attack and defence. VfB Stuttgart have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Borussia Mönchengladbach average 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 4L, goals 8–10; Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0W 0D 6L, goals 8–20.
- Head to head. In their 31 meetings so far, VfB Stuttgart have 13 wins, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 13 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 47–47.
What to expect
VfB Stuttgart should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (8.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 31; VfB Stuttgart 13 wins, 5 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 8–10, Borussia Mönchengladbach 8–20.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 75%.
- Absent: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
VfB Stuttgart are missing: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Borussia Mönchengladbach are without: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
VfB StuttgartWLLWLBorussia MönchengladbachDWLLLVfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: head to head
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: questions and answers
What is the best tip for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our result tip is VfB Stuttgart to win (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our probabilities: VfB Stuttgart to win 72%, a draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Matthias Jöllenbeck.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 75% (odds 1.29); under 2.5 goals is at 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (8.7%); after that come 3–1 (8.1%) and 2–0 (7.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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