Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Werder Bremen meet SC Paderborn 07 on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Weser-Stadion (Bremen), refereed by Robert Schröder, Germany. Werder Bremen (55%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Werder Bremen are 5th with 15 points after 8 matches (4W 3D 1L), whereas SC Paderborn 07 are 14th with 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
What to expect
Werder Bremen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Werder Bremen are missing: no absences. SC Paderborn 07 are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.80 | 4.36 | 4.42 |
| Market average | 1.75 | 4.21 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.12 | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.49 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.69 | 2.53 | 37.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.24 | 42.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Werder Bremen 2–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: who is missing
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
SC Paderborn 07
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our result tip is Werder Bremen to win (odds 1.80), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Werder Bremen or draw (1X).
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our probabilities: Werder Bremen to win 55%, a draw 23%, SC Paderborn 07 to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at Weser-Stadion, Bremen. Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Werder Bremen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.69).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.7%); after that come 1–1 (9.7%) and 2–0 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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