Bet with MINO CASINO →Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen is on 8 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Utrecht are 12th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas NEC Nijmegen are 13th with 11 points (2W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Utrecht have scored 1.7 and conceded 2.8 goals per game on average in this competition; NEC Nijmegen average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Utrecht: 3W 3D 5L, goals 19–31; NEC Nijmegen: 2W 5D 4L, goals 17–19.
- Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Utrecht have 10 wins, NEC Nijmegen have 6 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 30–22.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 22; Utrecht 10 wins, 6 draws, NEC Nijmegen 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Utrecht 19–31, NEC Nijmegen 17–19.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Utrecht 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 63%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Utrecht are missing: no absences. NEC Nijmegen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.46 | 3.90 | 2.76 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.73 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.16 | 3.40 | 2.54 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.49 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.53 | 37.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.21 | 42.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.43 | 64.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.64 | 35.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Utrecht 1–1 NEC Nijmegen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Utrecht 12th (12 points), NEC Nijmegen 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Utrecht 3W 3D 5L (19:31), NEC Nijmegen 2W 5D 4L (17:19).
- H2H: 22 matches: Utrecht 10W 6D 6L, goals 30–22.
- Absences: Utrecht 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.
Who will win Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: who is missing
Utrecht
- No reported absences
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Utrecht
Home and away
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
UtrechtLDWWLNEC NijmegenLDDDDUtrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our result tip is Utrecht or draw (1X) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Utrecht or draw (1X).
Who will win Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our probabilities: Utrecht to win 40%, a draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht.
Who will be missing?
Utrecht: no absences. NEC Nijmegen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.45).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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