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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11 · 1 November 2026 · 13:30

Telstar vs Utrecht: tip, odds and prediction – 1 November 2026, Eredivisie

WLLDL
4–2
LDWWL
1Telstar3.44
XDraw3.90
2Utrecht2.17

Best available odds · Updated 1/11/26, 13:02

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Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Telstar v Utrecht is on 1 November 2026 · 13:30 at Sportpark Schoonenberg (Felsen); Richard Martens takes charge. We think Utrecht (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Telstar vs Utrecht: tip and prediction
Result
Utrecht to win
2.17
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
46%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Utrecht (X2) – 71% probability, top odds 1.36.

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Telstar vs Utrecht: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Telstar are 16th with 9 points after 11 matches (2W 3D 6L), whereas Utrecht are 12th with 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Telstar have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Utrecht average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Telstar: 1W 3D 6L, goals 12–21; Utrecht: 3W 3D 4L, goals 17–27.
  4. Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Telstar have 0 wins, Utrecht have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–5.

What to expect

Utrecht should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 2; Telstar 0 wins, 1 draw, Utrecht 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Telstar 12–21, Utrecht 17–27.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
  5. Absent: Telstar 0, Utrecht 6.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Telstar are missing: no absences. Utrecht are without: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Telstar vs Utrecht: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.443.902.17
Market average3.243.732.07
Lowest odds2.823.332.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1680.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5760.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3540.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.562.4238.9%
BTTS – yes1.501.4962.4%
BTTS – no2.552.4737.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 13:02. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Telstar 1–1 Utrecht, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Telstar 16th (9 points), Utrecht 12th (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: Telstar 1W 3D 6L (12:21), Utrecht 3W 3D 4L (17:27).
  • H2H: 2 matches: Telstar 0W 1D 1L, goals 2–5.
  • Absences: Telstar 0, Utrecht 6.

Who will win Telstar vs Utrecht?

Telstar29%
Draw25%
Utrecht46%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Telstar vs Utrecht: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Utrecht (X2)70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Both sides to score: yes62.4% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.62
Likely
Utrecht to win45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.17
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.56
Outsider
Both sides to score: no37.6% · fair odds 2.66 · best 2.55
Outsider
Telstar to win29.1% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.44
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.96 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.3%
0 : 17.9%
2 : 17.2%
0 : 26.9%
2 : 26.3%

Telstar vs Utrecht: who is missing

Telstar

  • No reported absences

Utrecht

  • A. Engwandahamstring injury · will miss the match
  • V. Jensenknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Jonathansknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Ohioknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Paredesknee injury · will miss the match
  • V. Barkasnot in the squad · doubtful

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Telstar vs Utrecht: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

Telstar

1 NovWTelstar 4–2 Utrecht
23 OctLGO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar
17 OctLTelstar 3–4 Feyenoord
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
20 SeptLAZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar

Utrecht

1 NovLTelstar 4–2 Utrecht
24 OctDUtrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
18 OctWTwente 1–2 Utrecht
11 OctWUtrecht 3–1 Willem II
20 SeptLFeyenoord 5–0 Utrecht

Home and away

Telstar at home6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 12–17
Utrecht away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 10–16

Telstar vs Utrecht: team stats compared

TelstarUtrecht
17%Form83%
47%Attack53%
47%Defence53%
20%Head to head80%
29%Goals71%
34.5%Overall65.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

TelstarWLLDL
UtrechtLDWWL

Telstar vs Utrecht: head to head

All matches
0Telstar
1Draws
1Utrecht
11/4/26 · Utrecht 4–1 Telstar
23/11/25 · Telstar 1–1 Utrecht

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Telstar vs Utrecht: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Telstar vs Utrecht?

Our result tip is Utrecht to win (odds 2.17), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Utrecht (X2).

Who will win Telstar vs Utrecht?

Our probabilities: Telstar to win 29%, a draw 25%, Utrecht to win 46%.

What time and where is kick-off?

1 November 2026, kick-off at 13:30, at Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen. Referee: Richard Martens.

Who will be missing?

Telstar: no absences. Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.50).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.