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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 21 November 2026 · 14:30

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: tip, odds and prediction – 21 November 2026, Bundesliga

1SV Elversberg3.20
XDraw4.05
2SC Freiburg2.09

Best available odds · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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SV Elversberg are at home to SC Freiburg on 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg). Our favourites are SC Freiburg (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: tip and prediction
Result
SC Freiburg to win
2.09
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.78
46%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2) – 70% probability, top odds 1.38.

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SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.204.052.09
Market average3.123.902.05
Lowest odds3.003.752.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1282.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4265.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.752.7034.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.202.1544.9%
BTTS – yes1.441.4365.4%
BTTS – no2.752.7034.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: SV Elversberg 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: SV Elversberg 7th (13 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
  • Absences: SV Elversberg 0, SC Freiburg 0.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

SV Elversberg30%
Draw24%
SC Freiburg46%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.14
Likely
Draw or SC Freiburg (X2)69.9% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.38
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals55.1% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.78
Possible
SC Freiburg to win45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.09
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.20
Outsider
Both sides to score: no34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.75
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.75
Outsider
SV Elversberg to win30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw24.1% · fair odds 4.16 · best 4.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.7%
1 : 29.0%
2 : 17.3%
2 : 26.8%
0 : 16.5%
0 : 26.0%

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: who is missing

SV Elversberg

  • No reported absences

SC Freiburg

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

SV Elversberg

30 OctWSV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
24 OctLRB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
17 OctWSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctLUnion Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg
20 SeptDFC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg

SC Freiburg

31 OctWFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
25 OctLSC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München
22 OctLMonaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
18 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWSC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Home and away

SV Elversberg at home4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 12–8
SC Freiburg away4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 6–5

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, SV Elversberg are 7th with 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), whereas SC Freiburg are 3rd with 16 points (5W 1D 2L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
  2. Absent: SV Elversberg 0, SC Freiburg 0.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 3.5 goals (probability 45%, best available odds 2.20). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

SV Elversberg are missing: no absences. SC Freiburg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: questions and answers

What is the best tip for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

Our result tip is SC Freiburg to win (odds 2.09), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.78). The safer pick is Draw or SC Freiburg (X2).

Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

Our probabilities: SV Elversberg to win 30%, a draw 24%, SC Freiburg to win 46%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 November 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.

Who will be missing?

SV Elversberg: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.75).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.44).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.0%) and 2–1 (7.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.