Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
RB Leipzig are at home to SV Elversberg on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at Leipzig Red Bull Arena (Leipzig), with Bastian Dankert, Germany as the referee. Our favourites are RB Leipzig (67%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, RB Leipzig are 4th with 15 points after 8 matches (5W 0D 3L), whereas SV Elversberg are 7th with 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. RB Leipzig have scored 2.7 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; SV Elversberg average 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. RB Leipzig: 3W 0D 3L, goals 16–11; SV Elversberg: 3W 1D 2L, goals 12–11.
- Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, RB Leipzig have 2 wins, SV Elversberg have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–1.
What to expect
RB Leipzig should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (8.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.76), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 3; RB Leipzig 2 wins, 0 draws, SV Elversberg 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: RB Leipzig 16–11, SV Elversberg 12–11.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 75%.
- Absent: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 44%, best available odds 2.23). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
RB Leipzig are missing: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. SV Elversberg are without: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.45 | 5.80 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 5.38 | 6.29 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.72 | 25.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.78 | 33.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: RB Leipzig 2–1 SV Elversberg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: RB Leipzig 4th (15 points), SV Elversberg 7th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: RB Leipzig 3W 0D 3L (16:11), SV Elversberg 3W 1D 2L (12:11).
- H2H: 3 matches: RB Leipzig 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–1.
- Absences: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: who is missing
RB Leipzig
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
SV Elversberg
- L. Seifertankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Zimmerschiedankle injury · will miss the match
- N. Darvichinjury · doubtful
- F. Onyekafoot injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
RB Leipzig
Home and away
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RB LeipzigWWLWLSV ElversbergWLWLDRB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
Our result tip is RB Leipzig to win (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.76). The safer pick is RB Leipzig or draw (1X).
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
Our probabilities: RB Leipzig to win 67%, a draw 18%, SV Elversberg to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany.
Who will be missing?
RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. SV Elversberg: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 75% (odds 1.29); under 2.5 goals is at 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 66% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (8.9%); after that come 3–1 (7.8%) and 2–0 (7.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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