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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6 · 17 October 2026 · 14:30

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: tip, odds and prediction – 17 October 2026, Bundesliga

1SV Elversberg2.52
XDraw3.90
2FC Augsburg2.77

Best available odds · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg is on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg); Florian Exner, Germany takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
SV Elversberg or draw (1X)
1.50
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
64%chance of the result
65%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.523.902.77
Market average2.463.772.67
Lowest odds2.403.502.55
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4464.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.732.6535.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.172.1145.2%
BTTS – yes1.441.3966.9%
BTTS – no2.892.8133.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: SV Elversberg 1–1 FC Augsburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: SV Elversberg 7th (13 points), FC Augsburg 10th (9 points).
  • Absences: SV Elversberg 0, FC Augsburg 0.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

SV Elversberg39%
Draw25%
FC Augsburg36%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.1% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.14
Likely
Both sides to score: yes66.9% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals64.8% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.50
Likely
SV Elversberg or draw (1X)64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals54.8% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.81
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.17
Outsider
SV Elversberg to win38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.52
Outsider
FC Augsburg to win35.8% · fair odds 2.79 · best 2.77
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals35.2% · fair odds 2.84 · best 2.73
Outsider
Both sides to score: no33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.89
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.95 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.0%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.0%
2 : 26.8%
1 : 06.3%
0 : 15.9%

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: who is missing

SV Elversberg

  • No reported absences

FC Augsburg

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

SV Elversberg

30 OctWSV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
24 OctLRB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
17 OctWSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctLUnion Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg
20 SeptDFC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg

FC Augsburg

31 OctLFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
24 OctDFC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
17 OctLSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctDFC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München
19 SeptLWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Home and away

SV Elversberg at home4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 12–8
FC Augsburg away3 matches: 1W 0D 2L, goals 9–8

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, SV Elversberg are 7th with 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), whereas FC Augsburg are 10th with 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
  2. Absent: SV Elversberg 0, FC Augsburg 0.

Alternative tip: SV Elversberg or draw (1X)

Alternative pick: SV Elversberg or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

SV Elversberg are missing: no absences. FC Augsburg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: questions and answers

What is the best tip for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our result tip is SV Elversberg or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is SV Elversberg or draw (1X).

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our probabilities: SV Elversberg to win 39%, a draw 25%, FC Augsburg to win 36%.

What time and where is kick-off?

17 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. Referee: Florian Exner, Germany.

Who will be missing?

SV Elversberg: no absences. FC Augsburg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.73).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 67% probability (odds 1.44).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.0%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.