Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Südtirol v Cesena is on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen); Davide Di Marco takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Südtirol vs Cesena: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.42 | 3.30 | 3.44 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.14 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.09 | 3.00 | 2.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.11 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.72 | 25.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.94 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 07:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Cesena, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Cesena 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Südtirol 3W 4D 2L (10:9), Cesena 2W 5D 2L (10:13).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 1W 5D 2L, goals 5–6.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Südtirol vs Cesena: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Südtirol vs Cesena: who is missing
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Cesena
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Cesena: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Südtirol
Home and away
Südtirol vs Cesena: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Südtirol are 10th with 14 points after 10 matches (3W 5D 2L), whereas Cesena are 12th with 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Südtirol have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Cesena average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Südtirol: 3W 4D 2L, goals 10–9; Cesena: 2W 5D 2L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Südtirol have 1 win, Cesena have 2 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–6.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 1 win, 5 draws, Cesena 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Südtirol 10–9, Cesena 10–13.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Südtirol are missing: no absences. Cesena are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Cesena: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SüdtirolDLDLDCesenaDWLDLSüdtirol vs Cesena: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Südtirol vs Cesena: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Südtirol vs Cesena?
Our result tip is Südtirol or draw (1X) (odds 1.37), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Südtirol or draw (1X).
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
Our probabilities: Südtirol to win 41%, a draw 30%, Cesena to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Davide Di Marco.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Cesena: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.28); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 1–0 (11.6%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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