Bet with MINO CASINO →Padova meet Empoli on 7 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Euganeo (Padova). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Padova vs Empoli: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Padova are 9th with 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), whereas Empoli are 18th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Padova have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Empoli average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Padova: 4W 2D 4L, goals 10–11; Empoli: 2W 2D 6L, goals 10–17.
- Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Padova have 1 win, Empoli have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–3.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 2; Padova 1 win, 0 draws, Empoli 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Padova 10–11, Empoli 10–17.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Padova 0, Empoli 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.78). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Padova are missing: no absences. Empoli are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Padova vs Empoli: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.20 | 3.38 | 3.44 |
| Market average | 2.14 | 3.26 | 3.31 |
| Lowest odds | 2.09 | 3.02 | 2.92 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.29 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.54 | 3.33 | 27.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.74 | 53.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 46.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Padova 1–1 Empoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Padova 9th (14 points), Empoli 18th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Padova 4W 2D 4L (10:11), Empoli 2W 2D 6L (10:17).
- H2H: 2 matches: Padova 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–3.
- Absences: Padova 0, Empoli 0.
Who will win Padova vs Empoli?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Padova vs Empoli: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Padova vs Empoli: who is missing
Padova
- No reported absences
Empoli
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Padova vs Empoli: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Padova
Home and away
Padova vs Empoli: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PadovaDWWLLEmpoliDLLDLPadova vs Empoli: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Padova vs Empoli: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Padova vs Empoli?
Padova -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.78).
Who will win Padova vs Empoli?
Our probabilities: Padova to win 43%, a draw 29%, Empoli to win 28%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Euganeo, Padova.
Who will be missing?
Padova: no absences. Empoli: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.05); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.84).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.78).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (11.3%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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