Bet with MINO CASINO →Ascoli meet Palermo on 6 November 2026 · 19:30 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Ascoli vs Palermo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Ascoli are 3rd with 19 points after 10 matches (5W 4D 1L), whereas Palermo are 1st with 26 points (8W 2D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Ascoli have scored 1.6 and conceded 0.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Palermo average 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ascoli: 5W 4D 1L, goals 16–6; Palermo: 8W 2D 0L, goals 24–12.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Ascoli have 1 win, Palermo have 5 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–16.
What to expect
Palermo should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Ascoli 1 win, 2 draws, Palermo 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Ascoli 16–6, Palermo 24–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Ascoli 0, Palermo 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Ascoli are missing: no absences. Palermo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Palermo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.21 | 3.60 | 2.26 |
| Market average | 3.07 | 3.44 | 2.16 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.30 | 1.96 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.24 | 42.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.47 | 2.41 | 38.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ascoli 1–1 Palermo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ascoli 3rd (19 points), Palermo 1st (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Ascoli 5W 4D 1L (16:6), Palermo 8W 2D 0L (24:12).
- H2H: 8 matches: Ascoli 1W 2D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Absences: Ascoli 0, Palermo 0.
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Ascoli vs Palermo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Ascoli vs Palermo: who is missing
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Palermo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Ascoli
Home and away
Ascoli vs Palermo: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AscoliDWWDDPalermoWDWWWAscoli vs Palermo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Ascoli vs Palermo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Ascoli vs Palermo?
Ascoli or draw (1X) (1.72); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
Our probabilities: Ascoli to win 30%, a draw 27%, Palermo to win 43%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno.
Who will be missing?
Ascoli: no absences. Palermo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.29).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 1–2 (9.1%) and 0–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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