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Serie B · Matchweek 11 · 7 November 2026 · 14:00

Cesena vs Catanzaro: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Serie B

DWLDL
VS
1Cesena2.18
XDraw3.52
2Catanzaro3.45

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:30

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Cesena meet Catanzaro on 7 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Cesena vs Catanzaro: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.79
Result (even match)
Cesena or draw (1X)
1.36
54%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Cesena vs Catanzaro: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Cesena are 12th with 12 points after 10 matches (2W 6D 2L), whereas Catanzaro are 20th with 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Cesena have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Catanzaro average 1.1 scored and 2.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Cesena: 2W 6D 2L, goals 11–14; Catanzaro: 1W 3D 6L, goals 11–22.
  4. Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Cesena have 2 wins, Catanzaro have 3 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–8.

What to expect

Cesena should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 5; Cesena 2 wins, 0 draws, Catanzaro 3 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Cesena 11–14, Catanzaro 11–22.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
  5. Absent: Cesena 0, Catanzaro 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Cesena are missing: no absences. Catanzaro are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Cesena vs Catanzaro: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.183.523.45
Market average2.093.423.30
Lowest odds2.003.182.99
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2176.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7454.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.092.0745.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.932.7533.8%
BTTS – yes1.621.6058.1%
BTTS – no2.262.2241.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Cesena 1–1 Catanzaro, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Cesena 12th (12 points), Catanzaro 20th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Cesena 2W 6D 2L (11:14), Catanzaro 1W 3D 6L (11:22).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Cesena 2W 0D 3L, goals 7–8.
  • Absences: Cesena 0, Catanzaro 0.

Who will win Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Cesena45%
Draw27%
Catanzaro28%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Cesena vs Catanzaro: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.6% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.26
Likely
Cesena or draw (1X)71.8% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.2% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.3% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.09
Outsider
Cesena to win44.6% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.9% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.26
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.8% · fair odds 2.96 · best 2.93
Outsider
Catanzaro to win28.2% · fair odds 3.54 · best 3.45
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.52
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.91
probability of over 50.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
2 : 19.3%
1 : 09.3%
2 : 07.4%
1 : 27.2%
0 : 17.2%

Cesena vs Catanzaro: who is missing

Cesena

  • No reported absences

Catanzaro

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Cesena vs Catanzaro: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Palermo108-2-024:1226
2Modena106-2-218:1020
3Ascoli105-4-116:619
4Mantova105-3-215:1118
5Avellino104-3-315:1015
6Benevento104-3-314:1015
7Hellas Verona104-3-319:1315
8Pisa104-3-318:1515
9Padova104-2-410:1114
10Südtirol103-5-211:1014
11Cremonese103-3-410:1112
12Cesena102-6-211:1412
13Arezzo103-2-59:1911
14Virtus Entella102-4-411:1210
15Carrarese103-1-69:1310
16Juve Stabia103-4-311:119
17Vicenza Virtus102-3-513:209
18Empoli102-2-610:178
19Sampdoria102-2-610:188
20Catanzaro101-3-611:226

Recent matches

Cesena

31 OctDSüdtirol 1–1 Cesena
27 OctWCesena 2–1 Empoli
24 OctLModena 3–0 Cesena
18 OctDCesena 1–1 Avellino
10 OctLBenevento 2–0 Cesena

Catanzaro

31 OctDCatanzaro 1–1 Padova
27 OctDBenevento 1–1 Catanzaro
24 OctLCatanzaro 1–6 Ascoli
16 OctDHellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro
11 OctLCatanzaro 1–3 Mantova

Home and away

Cesena at home5 matches: 1W 4D 0L, goals 7–6
Catanzaro away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 7–12

Cesena vs Catanzaro: team stats compared

CesenaCatanzaro
63%Form38%
40%Attack60%
62%Defence38%
40%Head to head60%
47%Goals53%
52.7%Overall47.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

CesenaDWLDL
CatanzaroDDLDL

Cesena vs Catanzaro: head to head

All matches
2Cesena
0Draws
3Catanzaro
21/3/26 · Cesena 3–1 Catanzaro
27/12/25 · Catanzaro 2–0 Cesena
17/5/25 · Catanzaro 1–0 Cesena
1/2/25 · Catanzaro 4–2 Cesena
28/8/24 · Cesena 2–0 Catanzaro

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Cesena vs Catanzaro: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Over 2.5 goals (1.79); Cesena or draw (1X) (1.36).

Who will win Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Our probabilities: Cesena to win 45%, a draw 27%, Catanzaro to win 28%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena.

Who will be missing?

Cesena: no absences. Catanzaro: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.09).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (9.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Ascoli vs Palermo 6 NovPisa vs Südtirol 7 NovJuve Stabia vs Arezzo 7 NovPadova vs Empoli 7 NovMantova vs Hellas Verona 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.