Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Südtirol meet Sampdoria on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen), refereed by Valerio Crezzini, Italy. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.06 | 3.13 | 2.70 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.70 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.74 | 24.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 11:23. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–7.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: who is missing
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Südtirol
Home and away
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Südtirol are 10th with 14 points after 10 matches (3W 5D 2L), whereas Sampdoria are 19th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Südtirol have 4 wins, Sampdoria have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 11–7.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Südtirol are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 4 wins, 2 draws, Sampdoria 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Südtirol are missing: no absences. Sampdoria are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
Our result tip is Draw or Sampdoria (X2) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Draw or Sampdoria (X2).
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
Our probabilities: Südtirol to win 32%, a draw 32%, Sampdoria to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Valerio Crezzini, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.17); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–0 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.