Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cesena v Empoli is on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Dino Manuzzi (Cesena); Mario Perri takes charge. We think Cesena (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Cesena vs Empoli: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cesena are 12th with 12 points after 10 matches (2W 6D 2L), whereas Empoli are 18th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Cesena have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Empoli average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cesena: 1W 5D 2L, goals 8–12; Empoli: 2W 1D 5L, goals 7–13.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Cesena have 2 wins, Empoli have 4 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 12–16.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Cesena 2 wins, 2 draws, Empoli 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Cesena 8–12, Empoli 7–13.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: Cesena 0, Empoli 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cesena are missing: no absences. Empoli are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cesena vs Empoli: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.99 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.22 | 3.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.02 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.29 | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.39 | 27.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cesena 1–1 Empoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cesena 12th (12 points), Empoli 18th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Cesena 1W 5D 2L (8:12), Empoli 2W 1D 5L (7:13).
- H2H: 8 matches: Cesena 2W 2D 4L, goals 12–16.
- Absences: Cesena 0, Empoli 0.
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cesena vs Empoli: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cesena vs Empoli: who is missing
Cesena
- No reported absences
Empoli
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cesena vs Empoli: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Cesena
Home and away
Cesena vs Empoli: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CesenaDWLDLEmpoliDLLDLCesena vs Empoli: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Cesena vs Empoli: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cesena vs Empoli?
Our result tip is Cesena to win (odds 2.08), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Cesena or draw (1X).
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
Our probabilities: Cesena to win 46%, a draw 29%, Empoli to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Dino Manuzzi, Cesena. Referee: Mario Perri.
Who will be missing?
Cesena: no absences. Empoli: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.11); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (11.9%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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