Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Molde v Start is on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Aker Stadion (Molde); Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway takes charge. We think Molde (71%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Molde vs Start: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.35 | 5.89 | 8.17 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.39 | 7.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.22 | 3.04 | 30.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Molde 2–1 Start, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Molde 3rd (43 points), Start 16th (19 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Molde 5W 3D 0L, goals 24–9.
- Absences: Molde 0, Start 0.
Who will win Molde vs Start?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Molde vs Start: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Molde vs Start: who is missing
Molde
- No reported absences
Start
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Molde vs Start: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Molde
Home and away
Molde vs Start: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Molde are 3rd with 43 points after 25 matches (13W 4D 8L), whereas Start are 16th with 19 points (5W 4D 16L).
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Molde have 5 wins, Start have 0 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 24–9.
What to expect
Molde should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Molde 5 wins, 3 draws, Start 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.1 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: Molde 0, Start 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Molde are missing: no absences. Start are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Molde vs Start: head to head
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Molde vs Start: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Molde vs Start?
Our result tip is Molde to win (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Molde or draw (1X).
Who will win Molde vs Start?
Our probabilities: Molde to win 71%, a draw 17%, Start to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Aker Stadion, Molde. Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Molde: no absences. Start: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.37); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.22).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.3%); after that come 2–0 (9.3%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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