Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Start meet Sandefjord on 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), refereed by Rohit Saggi. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Start vs Sandefjord: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Start are 16th with 19 points after 25 matches (5W 4D 16L), whereas Sandefjord are 12th with 27 points (7W 6D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Start have scored 1.1 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Sandefjord average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Start: 4W 4D 15L, goals 25–54; Sandefjord: 6W 6D 11L, goals 22–30.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Start have 2 wins, Sandefjord have 5 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 11–20.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Sandefjord are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Start 2 wins, 4 draws, Sandefjord 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Start 25–54, Sandefjord 22–30.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Start are missing: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Sandefjord are without: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Start vs Sandefjord: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.42 | 4.05 | 2.75 |
| Market average | 2.34 | 3.77 | 2.64 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.33 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.45 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Start 1–1 Sandefjord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Start 16th (19 points), Sandefjord 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Start 4W 4D 15L (25:54), Sandefjord 6W 6D 11L (22:30).
- H2H: 11 matches: Start 2W 4D 5L, goals 11–20.
- Absences: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.
Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Start vs Sandefjord: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Start vs Sandefjord: who is missing
Start
- J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
- F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
- E. Segbergabsence · will miss the match
- K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match
Sandefjord
- D. Koswalknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Loftesnes-Bjunethigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Melchiorknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mollerankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Hadayainjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Start vs Sandefjord: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Start
Home and away
Start vs Sandefjord: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
StartLWLLLSandefjordWLLDWStart vs Sandefjord: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Start vs Sandefjord: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Start vs Sandefjord?
Start +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.52); Both teams to score (1.55).
Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?
Our probabilities: Start to win 40%, a draw 25%, Sandefjord to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Rohit Saggi.
Who will be missing?
Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Sandefjord: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.