Bet with MINO CASINO →Sandefjord v Molde is on 8 November 2026 · 16:00 at Jotun Arena (Sandefjord). We think Molde (54%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Sandefjord vs Molde: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sandefjord are 12th with 27 points after 25 matches (7W 6D 12L), whereas Molde are 3rd with 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Sandefjord have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Molde average 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sandefjord: 7W 6D 12L, goals 26–34; Molde: 13W 4D 8L, goals 59–39.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Sandefjord have 6 wins, Molde have 10 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–39.
What to expect
Molde should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.91), and our probability for it is 50%. We estimate both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Sandefjord 6 wins, 2 draws, Molde 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sandefjord 26–34, Molde 59–39.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Absent: Sandefjord 0, Molde 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best available odds 1.93). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sandefjord are missing: no absences. Molde are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Molde: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.00 | 4.41 | 1.76 |
| Market average | 3.84 | 4.19 | 1.72 |
| Lowest odds | 3.50 | 3.71 | 1.69 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.33 | 70.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.11 | 30.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.0% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.90 | 32.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sandefjord 1–2 Molde, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sandefjord 12th (27 points), Molde 3rd (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Sandefjord 7W 6D 12L (26:34), Molde 13W 4D 8L (59:39).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sandefjord 6W 2D 10L, goals 27–39.
- Absences: Sandefjord 0, Molde 0.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sandefjord vs Molde: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sandefjord vs Molde: who is missing
Sandefjord
- No reported absences
Molde
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Molde: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sandefjord
Home and away
Sandefjord vs Molde: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SandefjordWLLDWMoldeLWWDLSandefjord vs Molde: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sandefjord vs Molde: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sandefjord vs Molde?
Sandefjord +1 (Asian handicap) (1.70); Over 3.5 goals (1.91).
Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?
Our probabilities: Sandefjord to win 24%, a draw 22%, Molde to win 54%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Jotun Arena, Sandefjord.
Who will be missing?
Sandefjord: no absences. Molde: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.36); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 68% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.3%); after that come 1–1 (8.6%) and 1–3 (6.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.