Bet with MINO CASINO →Sporting Gijón v Valladolid is on 8 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal El Molinón (Gijón). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.38 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 70.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.75 | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.86 | 3.59 | 26.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sporting Gijón 1–1 Valladolid, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sporting Gijón 6th (22 points), Valladolid 13th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Sporting Gijón 7W 1D 4L (13:13), Valladolid 4W 3D 5L (20:19).
- H2H: 11 matches: Sporting Gijón 2W 3D 6L, goals 13–20.
- Absences: Sporting Gijón 0, Valladolid 0.
Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: who is missing
Sporting Gijón
- No reported absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sporting Gijón
Home and away
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sporting Gijón are 6th with 22 points after 12 matches (7W 1D 4L), whereas Valladolid are 13th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Sporting Gijón have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Valladolid average 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sporting Gijón: 7W 1D 4L, goals 13–13; Valladolid: 4W 3D 5L, goals 20–19.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Sporting Gijón have 2 wins, Valladolid have 6 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–20.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Sporting Gijón 2 wins, 3 draws, Valladolid 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sporting Gijón 13–13, Valladolid 20–19.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Sporting Gijón 0, Valladolid 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sporting Gijón are missing: no absences. Valladolid are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Sporting GijónWLWWWValladolidWLLWDSporting Gijón vs Valladolid: head to head
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Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid?
Our result tip is Sporting Gijón or draw (1X) (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81). The safer pick is Sporting Gijón or draw (1X).
Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid?
Our probabilities: Sporting Gijón to win 41%, a draw 29%, Valladolid to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón.
Who will be missing?
Sporting Gijón: no absences. Valladolid: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.16); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 1–0 (11.6%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.