Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AD Ceuta FC are at home to Sporting Gijón on 1 November 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta), with Ojaos Valera, Alejandro as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.42 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.35 | 3.36 | 2.88 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.90 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.89 | 50.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.21 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.07 | 44.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sporting Gijón, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points), Sporting Gijón 6th (22 points).
- Form in the competition: AD Ceuta FC 1W 2D 8L (10:25), Sporting Gijón 6W 1D 4L (11:13).
- H2H: 3 matches: AD Ceuta FC 1W 0D 2L, goals 2–4.
- Absences: AD Ceuta FC 0, Sporting Gijón 0.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: who is missing
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
Sporting Gijón
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
AD Ceuta FC
Home and away
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points after 12 matches (1W 2D 9L), whereas Sporting Gijón are 6th with 22 points (7W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. AD Ceuta FC have scored 0.9 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Sporting Gijón average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AD Ceuta FC: 1W 2D 8L, goals 10–25; Sporting Gijón: 6W 1D 4L, goals 11–13.
- Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, AD Ceuta FC have 1 win, Sporting Gijón have 2 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–4.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Sporting Gijón are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 3; AD Ceuta FC 1 win, 0 draws, Sporting Gijón 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AD Ceuta FC 10–25, Sporting Gijón 11–13.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: AD Ceuta FC 0, Sporting Gijón 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AD Ceuta FC are missing: no absences. Sporting Gijón are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AD Ceuta FCLLLLDSporting GijónWLWWWAD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: head to head
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AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón?
Our result tip is AD Ceuta FC or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is AD Ceuta FC or draw (1X).
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón?
Our probabilities: AD Ceuta FC to win 40%, a draw 28%, Sporting Gijón to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta. Referee: Ojaos Valera, Alejandro.
Who will be missing?
AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Sporting Gijón: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.99); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.