Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Granada CF are at home to Valladolid on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada), with M. H. De Aza as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.26 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.23 | 3.39 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.01 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.85 | 3.52 | 26.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Granada CF 1–1 Valladolid, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Granada CF 4th (23 points), Valladolid 13th (15 points).
- H2H: 14 matches: Granada CF 7W 2D 5L, goals 22–17.
- Absences: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Granada CF vs Valladolid: who is missing
Granada CF
- No reported absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Granada CF
Home and away
Granada CF vs Valladolid: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Granada CF are 4th with 23 points after 12 matches (7W 2D 3L), whereas Valladolid are 13th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Granada CF have 7 wins, Valladolid have 5 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–17.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 14; Granada CF 7 wins, 2 draws, Valladolid 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Granada CF are missing: no absences. Valladolid are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: head to head
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Granada CF vs Valladolid: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Granada CF vs Valladolid?
Our result tip is Granada CF or draw (1X) (odds 1.34), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.86). The safer pick is Granada CF or draw (1X).
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
Our probabilities: Granada CF to win 43%, a draw 29%, Valladolid to win 28%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada. Referee: M. H. De Aza.
Who will be missing?
Granada CF: no absences. Valladolid: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.13); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.86).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.6%); after that come 1–0 (11.5%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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