Bet with MINO CASINO →SC Freiburg meet Union Berlin on 8 November 2026 · 16:30 at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg). SC Freiburg (62%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, SC Freiburg are 3rd with 16 points after 8 matches (5W 1D 2L), whereas Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points (1W 4D 3L).
- Attack and defence. SC Freiburg have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Union Berlin average 0.9 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SC Freiburg: 5W 1D 2L, goals 18–10; Union Berlin: 1W 4D 3L, goals 7–19.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, SC Freiburg have 3 wins, Union Berlin have 9 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 18–24.
What to expect
SC Freiburg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; SC Freiburg 3 wins, 5 draws, Union Berlin 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: SC Freiburg 18–10, Union Berlin 7–19.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: SC Freiburg 0, Union Berlin 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.66). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
SC Freiburg are missing: no absences. Union Berlin are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.56 | 4.72 | 6.16 |
| Market average | 1.51 | 4.42 | 5.72 |
| Lowest odds | 1.45 | 3.98 | 5.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.61 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 41.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.59 | 2.50 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SC Freiburg 2–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points), Union Berlin 16th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: SC Freiburg 5W 1D 2L (18:10), Union Berlin 1W 4D 3L (7:19).
- H2H: 17 matches: SC Freiburg 3W 5D 9L, goals 18–24.
- Absences: SC Freiburg 0, Union Berlin 0.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: who is missing
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
SC Freiburg
Home and away
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SC FreiburgWLLWDUnion BerlinDDDWLSC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: questions and answers
What is the best tip for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Our result tip is SC Freiburg to win (odds 1.56), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is SC Freiburg or draw (1X).
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Our probabilities: SC Freiburg to win 62%, a draw 21%, Union Berlin to win 16%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 16:30, at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg.
Who will be missing?
SC Freiburg: no absences. Union Berlin: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (10.0%); after that come 2–0 (10.0%) and 1–1 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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