Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union Berlin meet Borussia Dortmund on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin), refereed by Daniel Schlager, Germany. Borussia Dortmund (61%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.79 | 4.72 | 1.60 |
| Market average | 5.51 | 4.47 | 1.56 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.51 | 1.47 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.55 | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union Berlin 1–2 Borussia Dortmund, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Berlin 16th (7 points), Borussia Dortmund 2nd (18 points).
- Absences: Union Berlin 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: who is missing
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
Borussia Dortmund
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Berlin
Home and away
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points after 8 matches (1W 4D 3L), whereas Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 18 points (5W 3D 0L).
What to expect
Borussia Dortmund should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Union Berlin 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Union Berlin are missing: no absences. Borussia Dortmund are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our result tip is Borussia Dortmund to win (odds 1.60), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Draw or Borussia Dortmund (X2).
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our probabilities: Union Berlin to win 17%, a draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund to win 61%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Union Berlin: no absences. Borussia Dortmund: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.51); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.2%) and 0–2 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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