Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Augsburg are at home to Union Berlin on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg), with Robin Braun as the referee. Our favourites are FC Augsburg (55%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Augsburg are 10th with 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), whereas Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points (1W 4D 3L).
- Attack and defence. FC Augsburg have scored 2.7 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Union Berlin average 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 2D 2L, goals 16–12; Union Berlin: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–17.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, Union Berlin have 5 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 19–18.
What to expect
FC Augsburg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; FC Augsburg 6 wins, 6 draws, Union Berlin 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Augsburg 16–12, Union Berlin 5–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.78). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Augsburg are missing: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Union Berlin are without: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.81 | 4.41 | 4.50 |
| Market average | 1.75 | 4.17 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.69 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), Union Berlin 16th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 2D 2L (16:12), Union Berlin 1W 2D 3L (5:17).
- H2H: 17 matches: FC Augsburg 6W 6D 5L, goals 19–18.
- Absences: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: who is missing
FC Augsburg
- N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match
- A. Claude-Mauricemuscle injury · doubtful
Union Berlin
- A. Ilicillness · will miss the match
- A. Markgrafknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Nsokimuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Imeriinjury · doubtful
- J. JuranovicAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC AugsburgLDLDLUnion BerlinDDDWLFC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Union Berlin +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our probabilities: FC Augsburg to win 55%, a draw 23%, Union Berlin to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: Robin Braun.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.79).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.47).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.6%); after that come 1–1 (9.3%) and 2–0 (7.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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