Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aalesund v Sandefjord is on 31 October 2026 · 17:00 at Color Line Stadion (Ålesund); Tore Hansen takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.25 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.79 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.94 | 3.31 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.78 | 33.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.02 | 46.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.36 | 67.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.87 | 32.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 16:06. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aalesund 1–1 Sandefjord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Aalesund 14th (24 points), Sandefjord 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Aalesund 5W 9D 10L (40:53), Sandefjord 6W 6D 12L (22:31).
- H2H: 13 matches: Aalesund 3W 2D 8L, goals 13–22.
- Absences: Aalesund 7, Sandefjord 8.
Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: who is missing
Aalesund
- I. Djantounot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Gudmundssonred card · will miss the match
- H. Hammerinjury · will miss the match
- S. Haramabsence · will miss the match
- M. Kristenseninjury · doubtful
- M. Reedinjury · doubtful
- J. Seehuseninjury · doubtful
Sandefjord
- B. Berntsenabsence · will miss the match
- D. Koswalknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Loftesnes-Bjunethigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Melchiorknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mollerankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Apetorgborinjury · doubtful
- X. Lambrixknee injury · doubtful
- M. Sauerinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Aalesund
Home and away
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Aalesund are 14th with 24 points after 25 matches (5W 9D 11L), whereas Sandefjord are 12th with 27 points (7W 6D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Aalesund have scored 1.7 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Sandefjord average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aalesund: 5W 9D 10L, goals 40–53; Sandefjord: 6W 6D 12L, goals 22–31.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Aalesund have 3 wins, Sandefjord have 8 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–22.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Aalesund 3 wins, 2 draws, Sandefjord 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Aalesund 40–53, Sandefjord 22–31.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Absent: Aalesund 7, Sandefjord 8.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best available odds 2.06). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Aalesund are missing: I. Djantou, O. Gudmundsson, H. Hammer, S. Haram, M. Kristensen, M. Reed, J. Seehusen. Sandefjord are without: B. Berntsen, D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, F. Apetorgbor, X. Lambrix, M. Sauer. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AalesundLLWLWSandefjordWLLDWAalesund vs Sandefjord: head to head
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Aalesund vs Sandefjord: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
Our result tip is Aalesund or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.81). The safer pick is Aalesund or draw (1X).
Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
Our probabilities: Aalesund to win 44%, a draw 25%, Sandefjord to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Color Line Stadion, Ålesund. Referee: Tore Hansen.
Who will be missing?
Aalesund: I. Djantou, O. Gudmundsson, H. Hammer, S. Haram, M. Kristensen, M. Reed, J. Seehusen. Sandefjord: B. Berntsen, D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, F. Apetorgbor, X. Lambrix, M. Sauer. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.89).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 68% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.6%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–2 (7.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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