Bet with MINO CASINO →Riga meet FK Jablonec on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Skonto stadions (Riga). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Riga vs FK Jablonec: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Riga are 21st with 2 points after 2 matches (0W 2D 0L), whereas FK Jablonec are 24th with 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Riga have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; FK Jablonec average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Riga: 4W 4D 0L, goals 14–8; FK Jablonec: 4W 1D 3L, goals 12–8.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Riga 14–8, FK Jablonec 12–8.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Riga 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Riga are missing: no absences. FK Jablonec are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Riga vs FK Jablonec: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.40 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.33 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.04 | 2.71 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 72.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.28 | 3.22 | 29.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Riga 21st (2 points), FK Jablonec 24th (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Riga 4W 4D 0L (14:8), FK Jablonec 4W 1D 3L (12:8).
- Absences: Riga 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Riga vs FK Jablonec: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Riga vs FK Jablonec: who is missing
Riga
- No reported absences
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Riga vs FK Jablonec: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Riga
Home and away
Riga vs FK Jablonec: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RigaDDFK JablonecDLReturns calculator
Riga vs FK Jablonec: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Riga vs FK Jablonec?
FK Jablonec +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Our probabilities: Riga to win 40%, a draw 28%, FK Jablonec to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Skonto stadions, Riga.
Who will be missing?
Riga: no absences. FK Jablonec: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.97); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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