Bet with MINO CASINO →Plzeň are at home to Sparta Praha on 8 November 2026 · 17:00 at Doosan Arena (Plzeň). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.48 | 3.57 | 2.69 |
| Market average | 2.44 | 3.49 | 2.61 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.30 | 2.58 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.19 | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.66 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.17 | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.62 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 60.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.37 | 2.33 | 39.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:55. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Plzeň 9th (19 points), Sparta Praha 4th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Plzeň 5W 4D 4L (28:21), Sparta Praha 7W 2D 4L (25:13).
- H2H: 26 matches: Plzeň 13W 4D 9L, goals 40–29.
- Absences: Plzeň 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Who will win Plzeň vs Sparta Praha?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: who is missing
Plzeň
- No reported absences
Sparta Praha
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Plzeň
Home and away
Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Plzeň are 9th with 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), whereas Sparta Praha are 4th with 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Plzeň have scored 2.2 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Sparta Praha average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Plzeň: 5W 4D 4L, goals 28–21; Sparta Praha: 7W 2D 4L, goals 25–13.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, Plzeň have 13 wins, Sparta Praha have 9 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 40–29.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Sparta Praha are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; Plzeň 13 wins, 4 draws, Sparta Praha 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Plzeň 28–21, Sparta Praha 25–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Plzeň 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Alternative tip: Plzeň or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Plzeň or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Plzeň are missing: no absences. Sparta Praha are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PlzeňWLWWLSparta PrahaDWDWWPlzeň vs Sparta Praha: head to head
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Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Plzeň vs Sparta Praha?
Our result tip is Plzeň or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Plzeň or draw (1X).
Who will win Plzeň vs Sparta Praha?
Our probabilities: Plzeň to win 38%, a draw 27%, Sparta Praha to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Doosan Arena, Plzeň.
Who will be missing?
Plzeň: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.72); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.19).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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