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Chance Liga · Matchweek 14 · 7 November 2026 · 17:00

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Chance Liga

1Zbrojovka Brno2.01
XDraw3.55
2Baník Ostrava3.71

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:55

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Zbrojovka Brno are at home to Baník Ostrava on 7 November 2026 · 17:00 at Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská (Brno). Our favourites are Zbrojovka Brno (47%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: tip and prediction
Result
Zbrojovka Brno to win
2.01
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
47%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X) – 74% probability, top odds 1.31.

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Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Zbrojovka Brno are 8th with 20 points after 13 matches (6W 2D 5L), whereas Baník Ostrava are 13th with 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Zbrojovka Brno have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Baník Ostrava average 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Zbrojovka Brno: 6W 2D 5L, goals 16–19; Baník Ostrava: 3W 2D 7L, goals 7–22.
  4. Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Zbrojovka Brno have 2 wins, Baník Ostrava have 2 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–8.

What to expect

Zbrojovka Brno should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 5; Zbrojovka Brno 2 wins, 1 draw, Baník Ostrava 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Zbrojovka Brno 16–19, Baník Ostrava 7–22.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
  5. Absent: Zbrojovka Brno 0, Baník Ostrava 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Zbrojovka Brno are missing: no absences. Baník Ostrava are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.013.553.71
Market average1.973.443.58
Lowest odds1.923.253.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2375.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.831.7753.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.022.0047.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8432.7%
BTTS – yes1.671.6456.7%
BTTS – no2.162.1443.3%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:55. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Zbrojovka Brno 1–1 Baník Ostrava, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Zbrojovka Brno 8th (20 points), Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: Zbrojovka Brno 6W 2D 5L (16:19), Baník Ostrava 3W 2D 7L (7:22).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Zbrojovka Brno 2W 1D 2L, goals 5–8.
  • Absences: Zbrojovka Brno 0, Baník Ostrava 0.

Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?

Zbrojovka Brno47%
Draw27%
Baník Ostrava26%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.5% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X)74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.3% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.42
Likely
Both sides to score: yes56.7% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.0% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.83
Possible
Zbrojovka Brno to win47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.01
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.02
Outsider
Both sides to score: no43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.16
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.7% · fair odds 3.06 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw27.0% · fair odds 3.71 · best 3.55
Outsider
Baník Ostrava to win26.0% · fair odds 3.85 · best 3.71
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.8%
1 : 010.2%
2 : 19.4%
2 : 08.2%
0 : 17.4%
1 : 26.8%

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: who is missing

Zbrojovka Brno

  • No reported absences

Baník Ostrava

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Zbrojovka Brno

31 OctLSigma Olomouc 3–0 Zbrojovka Brno
24 OctDZbrojovka Brno 2–2 Bohemians 1905
18 OctWSlovácko 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
10 OctLZbrojovka Brno 0–1 FK Jablonec
19 SeptLMladá Boleslav 2–0 Zbrojovka Brno

Baník Ostrava

1 NovLBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
10 OctLBohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava
13 SeptLBaník Ostrava 1–2 Pardubice

Home and away

Zbrojovka Brno at home7 matches: 4W 1D 2L, goals 11–8
Baník Ostrava away6 matches: 1W 1D 4L, goals 4–12

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: team stats compared

Zbrojovka BrnoBaník Ostrava
67%Form33%
57%Attack43%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
38%Goals62%
56.8%Overall43.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Zbrojovka BrnoLDWLL
Baník OstravaLDLDL

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: head to head

All matches
2Zbrojovka Brno
1Draws
2Baník Ostrava
6/5/23 · Baník Ostrava 4–0 Zbrojovka Brno
18/2/23 · Zbrojovka Brno 2–1 Baník Ostrava
31/8/22 · Baník Ostrava 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
1/5/21 · Baník Ostrava 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno
23/12/20 · Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 Baník Ostrava

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?

Our result tip is Zbrojovka Brno to win (odds 2.01), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X).

Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?

Our probabilities: Zbrojovka Brno to win 47%, a draw 27%, Baník Ostrava to win 26%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská, Brno.

Who will be missing?

Zbrojovka Brno: no absences. Baník Ostrava: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.83); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.8%); after that come 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (9.4%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.