Bet with MINO CASINO →Parma are at home to AS Roma on 21 November 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). Our favourites are AS Roma (72%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Parma vs AS Roma: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Parma are 15th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas AS Roma are 3rd with 24 points (7W 3D 0L).
What to expect
AS Roma should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Parma are missing: no absences. AS Roma are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Parma vs AS Roma: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 9.95 | 5.71 | 1.35 |
| Market average | 9.14 | 5.29 | 1.32 |
| Lowest odds | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.34 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.51 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.78 | 52.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Parma 0–2 AS Roma, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Parma 15th (8 points), AS Roma 3rd (24 points).
- Absences: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Parma vs AS Roma: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Parma vs AS Roma: who is missing
Parma
- No reported absences
AS Roma
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Parma vs AS Roma: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Parma vs AS Roma: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Parma vs AS Roma?
Over 2.5 goals (1.67); AS Roma to win (1.35).
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
Our probabilities: Parma to win 10%, a draw 18%, AS Roma to win 72%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
Who will be missing?
Parma: no absences. AS Roma: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 2.00).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (12.5%); after that come 0–1 (10.9%) and 0–3 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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