Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell are at home to ST Mirren on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell). Our favourites are Motherwell (51%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.88 | 3.98 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.81 | 3.88 |
| Lowest odds | 1.78 | 3.37 | 3.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.51 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:17. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 ST Mirren, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), ST Mirren 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Motherwell 2W 3D 6L (13:20), ST Mirren 4W 2D 5L (12:19).
- H2H: 48 matches: Motherwell 20W 17D 11L, goals 70–46.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: who is missing
Motherwell
- No reported absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Motherwell
Home and away
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Motherwell are 9th with 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L), whereas ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Motherwell have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; ST Mirren average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Motherwell: 2W 3D 6L, goals 13–20; ST Mirren: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–19.
- Head to head. In their 48 meetings so far, Motherwell have 20 wins, ST Mirren have 11 wins and 17 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 70–46.
What to expect
Motherwell should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 48; Motherwell 20 wins, 17 draws, ST Mirren 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Motherwell 13–20, ST Mirren 12–19.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Motherwell are missing: no absences. ST Mirren are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
MotherwellWDLLLST MirrenLDWLLMotherwell vs ST Mirren: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our result tip is Motherwell to win (odds 1.88), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Motherwell or draw (1X).
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our probabilities: Motherwell to win 51%, a draw 25%, ST Mirren to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Fir Park, Motherwell.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. ST Mirren: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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