Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell are at home to Heart Of Midlothian on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell), with D. Nicolson as the referee. Our favourites are Heart Of Midlothian (45%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Motherwell are 9th with 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L), whereas Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd with 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 50 meetings so far, Motherwell have 18 wins, Heart Of Midlothian have 23 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 55–74.
What to expect
Heart Of Midlothian should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 50; Motherwell 18 wins, 9 draws, Heart Of Midlothian 23 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Motherwell are missing: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.12 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.69 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.23 | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.54 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points).
- H2H: 50 matches: Motherwell 18W 9D 23L, goals 55–74.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: who is missing
Motherwell
- No reported absences
Heart Of Midlothian
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our result tip is Heart Of Midlothian to win (odds 2.12), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2).
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our probabilities: Motherwell to win 29%, a draw 26%, Heart Of Midlothian to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Fir Park, Motherwell. Referee: D. Nicolson.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.33).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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