Bet with MINO CASINO →ST Johnstone v Dundee is on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at McDiarmid Park (Perth). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, ST Johnstone are 7th with 14 points after 12 matches (3W 5D 4L), whereas Dundee are 5th with 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. ST Johnstone have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Dundee average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ST Johnstone: 3W 5D 4L, goals 15–19; Dundee: 5W 2D 4L, goals 17–13.
- Head to head. In their 35 meetings so far, ST Johnstone have 15 wins, Dundee have 12 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 46–38.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 35; ST Johnstone 15 wins, 8 draws, Dundee 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: ST Johnstone 15–19, Dundee 17–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: ST Johnstone 0, Dundee 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
ST Johnstone are missing: no absences. Dundee are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.40 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.83 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.14 | 2.58 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.76 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.27 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Johnstone 7th (14 points), Dundee 5th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Johnstone 3W 5D 4L (15:19), Dundee 5W 2D 4L (17:13).
- H2H: 35 matches: ST Johnstone 15W 8D 12L, goals 46–38.
- Absences: ST Johnstone 0, Dundee 0.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: who is missing
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Dundee
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Johnstone
Home and away
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ST JohnstoneDDLDWDundeeWLDWWST Johnstone vs Dundee: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: questions and answers
What is the best tip for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
Our result tip is ST Johnstone or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is ST Johnstone or draw (1X).
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
Our probabilities: ST Johnstone to win 41%, a draw 27%, Dundee to win 33%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at McDiarmid Park, Perth.
Who will be missing?
ST Johnstone: no absences. Dundee: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.76); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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